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Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Stock to buy for short term gains:


1.Easun Reyrolle Ltd at 96 tgt 125

2. Dynemic Products Ltd at 22 tgt 30

3. Visesh Infotecnics Ltd at 6.25 tgt 10

4. KIC Metaliks Ltd 108.55 tgt 150

5 Genus Power Infrastructures Ltd 205 tgt 250

Thursday, May 6, 2010

dpsc ltd

Jindals pick up 10% in Descon

Calcutta, May 2: JSW Group has bought into city-based IT firm Descon by scooping up a 10 per cent stake held by DPSC Ltd in back-to-back deals that turned one-time fierce competitors into close collaborators.

The $3.7-billion group, having interests in steel, power and infrastructure, is also in talks with three other shareholders of Descon to take management control.

A formal announcement is likely to be made by JSW shortly.

DPSC, formerly Dishergarh Power Supply Corporation, and Descon had cross-holdings between themselves.

Descon held 32.31 per cent in DPSC, which in turn held 10 per cent in Descon.

However, Descon decided to exit the power firm after a consortium led by city-based infrastructure finance company Srei became its majority owner in February.

It sold a 17.31 per cent stake to Orbis Power Venture (a special purpose vehicle of Srei) in an open market transaction in early April.

The company sold the remaining stake in an open offer made by Orbis last week, netting about Rs 97 crore from the two-phased transaction. DPSC, in turn, sold its holding in Descon to JSW.

Fierce bidding

DPSC was on the radar of JSW and Srei for a long time.

Both the company had made strategic moves to corner the power firm whose majority shares (57.17 per cent) were to be sold off by public sector Andrew Yule, the Life Insurance Corporation and the General Insurance Corporation.

JSW cornered Descon’s 32.31 per cent holding when the latter pledged the stake to the Jindals against a loan.

The Srei consortium, on the other hand, scooped up nearly 5 per cent in DPSC from the National Stock Exchange.

JSW and Srei were in the fray when the bidding started. Descon joined the process later.

On the day of open auction in November last year, JSW backed out but Srei fought till the end to emerge as the highest bidder.

However, the story did not end there.

It took a lot of political persuasion from the Centre and legal prodding from Calcutta High Court to actually complete the sale process in favour of Srei.

Fresh moves

Once Srei became the majority owner, foes turned friends.

Descon decided to cash out realising its role would be reduced to that of a minority shareholder.

JSW played its part by releasing the pledged shares. DPSC sold out a non-core business to JSW, which plans to engage Descon for IT support and engineering work for its upcoming steel and power project in Bengal.

JSW plan

The Sajjan Jindal group is in talks with three venture capital funds — two based in the UK and one in Singapore — to pick up their combined 49 per cent holding in Descon.

The IT firm did business of Rs 16 crore last year with nominal profit.

However, it is sitting on a cash pile of Rs 105 crore through sales of DPSC and Tide Water Oil stakes.

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Monday, May 3, 2010

Samtel Color Ltd (BUY0 AT 20 Rs

CORPORATE PROFILE
Samtel Color is the flagship company of the Samtel group, and manufactures the widest range of Colour TV tubes in India and has a capacity of over 10 million picture tubes per annum. The company was incorporated in 1986 with a technical collaboration with Mitsubishi Electric, Japan to manufacture 14” and 21” Color Picture Tubes (CPTs). With a market share of over 60%, it is the largest tube manufacturer in the country. Its clients include leading domestic and international TV manufacturers.

Integrated backwards with its component divisions at Ghaziabad and Parwanoo, Samtel Color also manufactures electron guns and deflection yokes for colour picture tubes.

DEFLECTION YOKES
The Deflection Yoke (DY) Division of Samtel Color was set up in 1998 at Parwanoo to manufacture DYs for colour picture tubes. Presently, the division supplies its products to the Colour Picture Tube division as well as some major TV manufacturers in the country. The division also manufactures Deflection Yokes for export to tube and TV manufacturers in South East Asia.

ELECTRON GUNS
The Electron Devices Division of Samtel Color is a leading manufacturer of Electron Guns for Colour picture Tubes in the country. The product is a critical component of a picture tube and its quality determines the life and performance of the picture tube. Set up in 1994, the division has its manufacturing unit at Ghaziabad. The division is also the largest manufacturer of cathodes and heaters for Electron Guns in India and has received the prestigious ELCINA R&D Award for 1996-97.

Samtel Display Systems:

Samtel Display Systems (SDS) is a key Indian player in high-technology products for avionics
and military applications in both domestic and international markets. SDS straddles the entire
value chain from design, development, manufacture, testing, qualification, repair & maintenance
and obsolescence management of avionics products and equipment for military as well as
commercial aircraft. Its products include Color Avionic Tubes (CAT), Multi Function Displays
(MFD), Head Up Displays (HUD), Helmet Mounted Displays (HMD), Automated Test Equipments
(ATE) and IADS, as well as Control Displays for Armored Military Vehicles. SDS is a part of the
Samtel Group, India’s largest integrated manufacturer of a wide range of displays for television,
avionics, industrial, medical and professional applications, TV glass, components for displays,
machinery and engineering services.


GREAT TURNAROUND STORY

BOOK VALUE AT 26RS PROM TAKEN 3 CR AT 21.50
NEXT YEAR EPS COULD BE 4 RS

STOCK IS ACCUMULATED AROUND 19 FROM ONE YEAR. IAM EXPECTING 30RS IN NEXT 3 MONTHS

Sunday, April 25, 2010

UTV Software Communications Ltd ( 410.00) BUY

Snapshot

UTV Software Communications Limited
operates in the verticals of Television,Movies,Broadcasting, Gaming and New Media and is thus close to achieving the status of a 3600 media company. Walt Disney, which is a leading global player in the Media and Entertainment (M&E) Industry,holds 60% stake in UTV.

Investment Rationale

UTV is a 3600 company which is growing across verticals in the media industry. Such a growth is attained by both organic and inorganic means. The company has recently acquired True Games which is inolved in online gaming. By having an alliance with Disney the company is able to use its expertise in various fields like gaming animations, distribution of Hollywood movies etc.

The gaming industry is expected to grow manifolds in the coming years in India. India games which is a subsidiary of UTV has 60%market share in India. Even, in the online and mobile gaming industry,the company is involved actively with the subsidiaries and its strategic partner, Disney for designing games which are made to suit the USA customers, as USA is one of the biggest market for online gaming mainly due to the accessibility of internet and mobile phones.

UTV’s broadcasting business is a low cost model thus reducing the gestation period for the company. All of the channels are in a ‘Pay’and ‘Subscribe’ mode thus generating constant revenues for the company. This segment is expected to break even in FY10 with UTV Movies already in profit in FY10.

UTV has 35 movies on slate to be released in next two years. Of these around 8‐9 movies are of the budget of more than Rs.30 crs. The company is planning to invest around Rs.900 crs in this segment for next 2‐3 years, and is expected to earn revenues in the range of around Rs. 400 crs in FY10. Also because the company follows a studio model & with the company reducing cost of Production the margins in this segment are set to improve going forward.



expecting 15 eps in fy10, 35 eps in fy 11, 63 eps in fy 12 . in last 10 days Goldman Sachs Investments Mauritius I Ltd sold 6.5 lks shares in the open market . last 10 days delivery's 12 laks shares change hand in both exchanges. at avg price of 445.rs. current market price 410 is much lower compare to peers. last month it went up to 570 levels. Walt Disney bought 50 % stake at 750 rs.2 years back . so we can invest for long term and short term prospective



in next 5 days if the scrip holds 400 level it can go to 470 immediately .lower side i can come down to 375 in worst case. scrip can touch 550 in next 3 months.

HAPPY INVESTING


SAHADEV




Thursday, April 15, 2010

Sabero Organics Gujarat ( 76.35)

Sabero Organics is an established player in the agrochemical industry which manufactures and sells a variety of specialty chemicals and crop protection products. Sabero has a diversified product portfolio for Insecticides, Herbicides, Fungicides and Specialty chemicals. The main products namely Mancozeb, Acephate, Glyphosate, Chlorpyriphos are the largest selling generic products in their respective segments with markets in most regions of the world. Sabero’s manufacturing facility is located in Gujarat and has received the title of ‘Pioneer Industry’ from the Government of Gujarat.
With more than 240 product registrations in 50 countries, Sabero has subsidiaries in Australia, Europe and Argentina and has also established 2 subsidiaries in Brazil which is the largest agrochemical market in the world. With around 65% of the Company’s revenues been contributed by exports, Sabero focus on various geographies around the world like Latin America, Europe, Brazil, Argentina, etc. Sabero is the largest producer of two of its key products namely Mancozeb and Glyphosate in India and second largest in the world.

Business Highlights:

Sabero becomes the second largest producer of Mancozeb in the world post capacity expansion to 30,000 tones per annum.

Launched new products – Insecticides Methamidophos and Acephate Prills

Company added as a source in the registrations of a large European MNC for:

• Mancozeb Technical (Fungicide) in 7 EU countries

• Glyphosate Technical (Herbicide) in 15 EU countries

• Acephate Technical and 90% prills (Insecticide) in USA MNC.

Details of financial performance

Continues to be one of the lowest cost manufacturer in the world for some key organophosphorous and dithiocarbamate products like Mancozeb, Monocrotophos, Acephate, Chloropyriphos and Diclorovos.

9M FY2010 (April – December 2009) v/s 9M FY2009 (April – December 2008)

• Income from operations (net of excise) at Rs. 33,374 lakhs as compared to Rs. 26,742 lakhs in 9M FY09, an increase of 25 %

• Profit before interest, depreciation and tax increased by 75 % to Rs. 6,912 lakhs compared with Rs. 3,953 lakhs in the corresponding period last year.

• Profit before tax up by 108 % at Rs. 4,888 lakhs as against Rs. 2,352 lakhs last year.
• Net Profit stood at Rs. 3,095 lakhs compared to Rs 1,945 lakhs in 9M FY09, an increase of 59%.

• Basic EPS (not annualized): Rs. 10.58 compared to Rs. 6.66 in Q3 FY09, an increase of 59%.
Q3 FY2010 (October – December 2009) v/s Q3 FY2010 (October – December 2008)

• Income from operations (net of excise) at Rs. 10,941 lakhs as compared to Rs 9,012 lakhs in Q3 FY09, an increase of 21 %

• Profit before interest, depreciation and tax increased by 112 % to Rs. 2,373 lakhs compared with Rs. 1,118 lakhs in the corresponding period last year.

• Profit before tax up by 108 % at Rs. 1,687 lakhs as against Rs. 611 lakhs last year.

• Net Profit stood at Rs. 1,027 lakhs compared to Rs. 511 lakhs in Q3 FY09, an increase of 101%.

• Basic EPS (not annualized): Rs. 3.51 compared to Rs. 1.75 in Q3 FY09, an increase of 101%.

New products introduced

In the current financial year, Sabero has introduced Methamidaphos, an insecticide. Methamidaphos which is used across several fruit and vegetable produce and is sold in South America and Africa. In addition, the company has introduced a new environmentally friendly formulation, Acephate prills for sale in Latin and North America. The company is also introducing, two insecticides, one rice herbicide, and a fungicide at the end of the March quarter, to be manufactured in existing facilities, for sale in India as well as international markets.


Going by the current performance of the company and the huge opportunity it has in the
future, Sabero is positioned itself to grow rapidly in the next couple of years. Based on
the above calculations, Sabero is better placed than its peers with a good growth
number and with low price to earnings. At the current price of Rs. 76.80, it is available at
6.5 times, with a market cap of Rs2300 mn, Based on the above estimates, the market
cap of the company at the end of FY2013 can be anywhere between Rs 4320 mn to Rs
13304.2 mn.

Concerns

Raw Material Price Fluctuations: Even though the raw material prices have stabilized
over the last few quarters, there is always a risk of fluctuation in raw material prices that
could affect the profitability of the company.

Currency Fluctuations: About 65% of the total sales of Sabero are exported to various
countries around the world. Any adverse movement in the rupee will impact the margins
of the company. It is therefore exposed to the currency fluctuation issues that could arise
during export transactions. However, there is a natural hedge in the form of imported
raw materials and domestic sales. So about 35% of topline at any point remains
unhedged and the company has no current plans of hedging this exposure

BUY AT CURRENT PRICE . WAIT FOR 4TH QUARTER RESULTS. IT WILL BE A 100 RS STOCK.




Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Vikas Granaries Ltd (27.50)

BUY VIKAS GRAN(531518) AT 27.5 .IT HAS A Trialing 12MONTHS EPS IS AT14 RS , 9MONTHS PROFIT IS AT 17.73 AND M CAP IS AT 48 CR. PROMOTERS HAS TAKEN 12 CR EQ AT A PRICE OF 22 RS. on 2005 . company has invested 45 cr for expansion. it will result future growth.

RESULTS:

http://vikasgranaries.in/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/31_12_2009.pdf

Thursday, March 25, 2010

10 Deadly Trading Mistakes!

The following are 10 most common but deadly Trading Mistakes, which
traders should avoid at all costs. Anyone of them can literally
destroy one's financial dreams and goals!

1. Trading for excitement & thrill Not for profits.
Many traders consider stock market as casino and trade for thrill and
fun only. As soon as one has a losing trade, he wants to quickly make
back the lost money. He thinks about the other things he could have
done with the money, regret taking the trade and want to recover as
quickly as possible. This in turn leads to further mistakes. Be
patient and wait for the next high probability opportunity. Don't rush
back in.

2. Trading with a high ego.
Many individuals who have remained highly successful in other business
ventures have failed miserably in trading game. Because they have a
fairly big ego and thought they couldn't fail. Their egos become their
downfall because they can not except that they would be wrong and
refuse to get out of bad trades. Once again, whoever or wherever has
any one come from does not concern the markets. All the charm, powers
of persuasion, number of degrees & diplomas of business management on
the wall or business savvy will not budge the market when you are
wrong.

3. Three 4-letter words that will kill you! HOPE--WISH--FEAR--PRAY
If you ever find yourself doing one or more of the above while in a
trade then you are in big trouble! Markets has own system of moving up
& down. All the hoping, wishing and praying or being fearful in the
world is not going to turn a losing trade into a winning one. When you
are wrong just use a simple 4-letter word to correct the situation-GET
OUT!

4. Trading with money you can't afford to lose.
One of the greatest obstacles to successful trading is using money
that you really can't afford to lose. Examples of this would be money
that is supposed to be used in any other business, money to be paid
for college/school fee, trading with borrowed money etc. Ultimately
what happens is that when someone knows in the back of their mind that
they are risking the money they can not afford to lose, they trade out
of fear and emotion versus logic and no emotion. If you are in this
situation It is highly recommend that you stop trading until you earn
enough to put into an account that you truly can afford to lose
without causing major financial setbacks.

5. No Trading Plan
If you consider yourself a trader, ask yourself these questions: Do I
have a set of rules that tell me what to buy, when to buy and how much
to buy, not just for the next trade, but for the next 10 trades?
Before I enter a trade, do I know when I will take profits? Do I know
when I will get out if I am wrong? These questions form the first part
of a trading strategy. There simply cannot be any expectation of
success if we can't answer these questions clearly and concisely.

6. Spending profits before you make them.
Nothing is more exciting then getting into a trade that blasts off and
puts you into a highly profitable situation. This can cause major
problems however, because this type of trade puts you in a highly
euphoric state and leads to daydreaming about the huge profits still
to come. The real problem occurs as you get caught up in the daydream
and expectations. This causes you to not be prepared to get out as the
market reverses and wipes off all your profits because you have
convinced yourself of the eventual outcome and will deny the reality
of the situation. The simple remedy for this is to know where and how
you will take profits once you enter the trade.

7. Not Cutting Losses or letting Profits run
One of the most common mistakes made by traders is that they let their
losses grow too large. Nobody likes to take a loss, but failing to
take a small loss early will often result in being forced to take a
large loss later. A great trader is not someone who has never had a
loss. Great traders have made many losses. But what makes them great
is their ability to recover quickly from a string of losses. Every
trader needs to develop a method for getting out of losing trades
quickly. Research and learn to apply the best methods for placing
protective stoploss orders. The only way to recover from many (small)
losing trades is to make sure the winning trades are much larger.
After a series of losing trades, it becomes difficult to hold a
winning trade because we fear that it will also turn into a loss. Let
your profitable trades run. Give them room to move and give them time
to move.

8. Not Sticking to your plans & Changing strategies during market
hours
If you find yourself changing your strategy during the day while the
markets are still open, be mindful of the fact that you are likely to
be subject to emotional reactions of fear and greed. With rare
exception, the most prudent thing to do is to plan your trading
strategy before the market opens and then strictly stick to it during
trading hours.

9. Not knowing how to get out of a losing trade.
It's amazing that most of the traders don't have any clear escape plan
for getting out of a bad trade. Once again they hope, pray wish and
rationalize their position. It must be kept in mind that market does
not care what you think. It does what it does and when you are wrong
you are wrong! The easiest way to keep a bad trade from going really
bad is to determine before you get in, where you will get out.

10. Falling in love with a stock (Just Flirt).
Many traders get fascinated by just a stock or two and look for
opportunities to trade in those stocks only ignoring the other
profitable trading opportunities. It is because they have simply
fallen in love with a stock to trade with. Such tendencies can be
suicidal as for as trading is concerned. It may cost any one dearly.

source:Gaurav S Mehta

 STOCK IDEA:        Apollo Pipes Ltd 349.00 AROUND 325 ITS A GOOD BUY FOR LONGTERM   ...